According to the Hongkong China Review Agency in July 11th, the deputy director of the Taiwan Political University's International Relations Research Center, Kou Jianwen, a former director of East Asia, visited South Korea by the end of last month. In Seoul, he received an interview with the reporter of the China News Agency, and answered the outstanding issues of Japan Taiwan relations, the relations between the Taiwan and Taiwan and the cross-straits relations.
Kou Jianwen, first of all, said that the relations between Taiwan and Japan from the perspective of Japan, he and the United States and Mainland China this triangle must be more important, Taiwan and Japan must be a minor relationship, so this kind of relationship, as long as it is clear, can clearly see the relationship between Japan and the future in the future. It is good, but the possibility of major breakthroughs is relatively low, which is the big pattern. The cross-strait relations between Japan and Taiwan will in fact be subject to big power relations, such as Sino US relations and Sino Japanese relations. Taiwan has no way to participate in this great power relationship. When relations between great powers change, there will be some changes in cross-straits relations. So so far, the uncertainty of the cross-strait relations will be relatively high.
Then we also put that relationship, the relationship between the United States, Japan and the mainland. Japan is actually a relatively small country. When it finds that the relations with the US and Japan are not as reliable as they used to be, it will, in turn, resolve the tension between China and the mainland. Japan alone will face pressure on China. It needs the United States, but what will the big brother stand now? It becomes uncertain, so now it becomes an opportunity to improve Sino Japanese relations. The relations between China and Japan have improved and the relationship between Japan and Japan will be affected. So the relationship between Japan and Japan will be well developed when the relations between China and Japan are to be changed, but the possibility of his major political breakthroughs is a little bit smaller. For Japan, for Andouble, it is now to improve this relationship, how I could have to improve the relationship between Taiwan and Japan to affect this relationship, who is very small who is very clear. Therefore, if the improvement of Sino Japanese relations becomes the highest principle of the Andouble administration, the Japanese relations will be affected.
"I think the relationship between China and the United States is the same. For the United States, the importance of Sino US relations must be more important than Taiwan US relations. This is a reality. In fact, it is hard for me to imagine that the United States will seriously influence the US and US departments in order to improve Taiwan US relations. Therefore, in this case, the officials sent by the United States, in fact, are in charge of culture and education. They are in charge of cultural education, not foreign affairs. This is actually being reduced. Although he has an official, but after his official came out, the mainland certainly has a protest, but the mainland will not turn over, I believe that the two sides actually have a ditch through, if it is Burton, the mainland will turn over, because your national security adviser is a very important position. " Kou Jianwen said.
Kou Jianwen pointed out that recently, it was said that the U. S. warship was stopping at the port of Taiwan, which was probably difficult, because in 1979, there were three principles when the mainland established diplomatic relations with the United States. If the US warship arrived at the port of Taiwan, the original conditions in the three principles were actually destroyed and the mainland would not accept it. Perhaps the US Congress passed a bill that said warships could be docked at Taiwan port, but in the administrative department, if it was to do so, it meant that China US relations might face a very serious challenge. In fact, I thought it was to play the Taiwan card, but it was not possible to do it.
Kou Jianwen also said that we see that the overall development of cross-strait relations has been deadlocked since the "520" of 2016. The reason for this impasse is that on the one hand, the mainland has no intention to change its position. On the other hand, after Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party is in power, he will not accept the "92 consensus", nor will it change its position. The reason that this stalemate is formed is to take Taiwan, of course, to look at the results of the local elections at the end of this year, and then the most important result of the 2020 "general election", for example, if the DPP, if it came down and the Kuomintang came to power, provided a chance to change the cross-straits relations, if the DPP continued to take power. Then the situation is different. However, the relationship between the two sides of the Taiwan Straits must not be good.
Taiwan's habit is about half a year to one year before the election, and everyone will take the election as the main axis, so the relationship between the two sides will not be good. For Cai Yingwen, how she wants to close the relationship with the mainland, in fact, the mainland will not have a positive response, because the mainland will not believe her, so it is In this case, she will not try to release good faith from Taiwan from the perspective of the mainland, and then to improve the relationship between the two sides, because it will not be effective, so it must be a deadlock, that is, the cross-straits relations will not be good. We have to understand the background of her speech, and disagree is another matter.
The reduction in the number of visitors from the mainland is actually a relatively small issue. Because the cross-strait relations are not good, it is normal for Lu guest to be affected by some or less. As long as there is no obvious improvement in the nature of the cross-strait relations, it is difficult to restore the number of landlocked visitors to Taiwan. In turn, Taiwan can also use this time to begin to reintegrate it. This opportunity can be used to think about the development of the future tourism.
Liu Jieyi, the director of the National Taiwan Affairs Office, met with Hong Xiuzhu, the former president of the Chinese Kuomintang in June 12th, when the relations between the two sides of the Taiwan Straits are good and Taiwan will have a future, and the Taiwan compatriots will have better prospects for development and well-being. To promote the peaceful development of the cross-straits relations is the common aspiration of the compatriots on both sides of the Straits. The key is to adhere to the "92 consensus" which embodies the one China principle and safeguard the political process of cross-Straits relations.
He pointed out that, at present, the relations between the two sides of the Taiwan Straits are very complicated. The Democratic Progressive Party authorities have refused to recognize the "92 consensus" and indulge in the conspiracy of "going to China" and "gradual independence", and obstruct the restrictions on exchanges and cooperation between the two sides of the Straits and attempt to create hostility and opposition between the compatriots on both sides of the Straits, which not only threatens the peace and stability of the Taiwan Straits, but also is a serious danger to the Taiwan Straits. The vital interests and well-being of the Taiwan compatriots.
Liu Jieyi stressed that we hope the compatriots on both sides of the Taiwan Straits will share the national great meaning, take a clear-cut stand to adhere to the "92 consensus", oppose the various "Taiwan independence" scheming, remove the stumbling blocks that impede the exchanges between the two sides of the Straits, promote the peaceful development of the cross-straits relations, advance the process of peaceful reunification of the motherland, and realize the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation. The national dream works together.
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