Original title: seeking to meet with Rouhani, what brand is Trump playing?
In the face of Trump's invitation to "unconditional" meeting, Iran strongly rejected it. Behind this difference, in fact, is that there is no room for dialogue between the United States and Iraq at present.
With the new US sanctions on Iran approaching, the Trump administration has made a dazzling "combination" of Iraq's policy in the short term.
First is the rumor that the United States is planning to move to force, even "subvert" the Iran regime, and later to the sea, Egypt and other related countries will meet in Washington in October to promote the construction of the so-called "Arabia version of NATO."
Trump has recently expressed his wish to meet with Iran's president Rouhani without preconditions. Behind the contradictory multiple signals is the current Trump administration's Dilemma and helplessness in its policy toward Iraq.
Since the United States unilaterally torn up the Iraq nuclear agreement in May 8th this year, the situation has not been pushed forward according to Trump's script. Instead, there have been many other ironi countries adhering to the consensus and boycotting the United States, making the Trump administration a little bit more difficult.
It is in such a difficult situation that many American hearsay and the "subversion" of the Iran regime have been heard many times. Basically, it still needs to exert pressure on Iran, especially in Iraq.
Objectively speaking, although Trump "anti Obama" addiction, but in the so-called "will not be easily armed but again deep in the mire" principle still adhere to, and this tendency has also been represented by Matisse as the military's identity.
In addition to the subjective reluctance to move, the Trump administration would not be able to find the right helper in the objective, only Israel and Saudi Arabia would be involved, but there was a gap between the wishes of the United States hoping to let allies go ahead. These short boards decide that the US government may go ahead with the sanctions imposed in August and November before looking at the consequences.
It is precisely in this hurry, but have to slowly come to the background, the so-called "Arab version of NATO" once again surfaced. This idea can obviously realize the institutionalization of the leading position of the US in the Middle East. But the problem is that in the face of a series of problems such as the disagreement within the GCC, the Trump administration has to quickly replicate such a framework of common defense, the only shortcut to strengthen the common understanding of the so-called persistent threats to Iran.
In this sense, Trump seems ready to consolidate his sole dominance in the Middle East while failing to effectively resolve the Iranian issue.
Ironically, in the face of Trump's so-called "unconditional" invitation to meet, the Iranian side refused with "worthless fantasy". Behind this difference, in fact, is that there is no room for dialogue between the United States and Iraq at present.
In America's view, the Iranian nuclear agreement has solved the nuclear issue, but it has led to the recovery of Iran and the expansion of its influence. What the Trump administration wants now is to go beyond the nuclear issue itself enough to contain Iran's new agreement.
This attempt is unacceptable to Iran, which wants to pursue the country's economic and social development and normal international status. Just imagine, if you meet in such a state, it will not help to help Trump earn enough domestic voters' eye.
Because of the gap in strategic objectives, the two countries are moving to the edge of high intensity differences. Imagine that if the United States took oil sanctions against Iran in November, Iran really chose the worst expectations of the outside world, that is, the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, which is bound to give uncertainty to the regional situation and the world economic situation.
Since the United States withdrew from the Iraq nuclear agreement, all developments have proved an indisputable fact that, in order to solve the Iranian nuclear issue, the parties must return to the right track on the multi frame frame of peace negotiations as soon as possible. In this dimension, the Trump administration should not pretend to sleep again.
Diao Daming (Associate Professor of University of International Relations, Renmin University of China)
Editor in responsibility: Zhang Yu