Original title: he "loves" China, and he rebelled?
Kissinger suggested that Trump "unite Russia to resist China"?
The door slowly opened, and Putin stepped sideways and walked straight to the round table on the side of the hall. Although it was a little hard, Kissinger still stood up with a cane. A few years ago, one of his ligaments was torn. Unless he saw a distinguished guest or a close friend, he would not normally greet him.
The meeting was more than a year ago, in June 29, 2017.
Moscow Kremlin said it was only a personal meeting between friends. Kissinger was in Moscow to attend a memorial forum for former Prime Minister of Russia, and "by the way" Putin.
Did Kissinger entrust with Trump? For more than a year, the guess has been fermenting. After the Helsinki putt in July this year, speculation turned into a report on the American media that Kissinger had been helping Trump plan to improve relations with Russia, and he even suggested the president's next game of "unite Russia against China".
The "confidant" of the Moscow Kremlin
Kissinger is a realist of international politics and a believer in Machiavelli doctrine. Roughly speaking, he firmly believes that he can do anything for the sake of national interests.
During the 60s and 70s last century as national security adviser and Secretary of state, he led the secret bombing of North Vietnam supporters in Kampuchea in 1969, Bangladesh from Pakistan in 1971 and the coup to overthrow Chilean President Allende in 1973, and so on. One of the most classic, of course, is the 1970s "United Resistance Against the Soviet Union in Central Asia", with Brzezinski later, for the cold war opponents sounded the death knell.
Perhaps a real realist master is high enough to be thorough enough in his "reality".
Kissinger was a Jew who fled Nazi Germany when he was 15 years old. Jews did not have much interest in old Europe, including Russia. Although he did not like Brzezinski of Poland to resist Russia, Jews Kissinger's impression of Russia was much better.
But after the fall of the Soviet Union, Kissinger changed his attitude towards the main successor of Russia, insisting that the relationship between the United States and Russia should be improved and Russia's status in the international community was maintained. Moscow's relations with Washington have been at a low ebb for most of the past 20 years, but Kissinger has become the Kremlin's bosom friend.
It is said that Kissinger was early to know the Pearl. He met Putin for the first time in 1990 and was very curious about the young man. After Kissinger asked a series of questions, Putin, who had just returned home from a spy mission in East Germany, shyly confessed, "I do intelligence work." The people present recalled that Kissinger immediately replied, "decent people start with intelligence work, and so do I."
In the next twenty or thirty years, Putin climbed to the top of politics. Successive waves of hawks in successive US governments relay Putin, but Kissinger maintains close communication with him. This time last June, they had seen 17 times.
The mysterious entrustment of Trump
More recently, the meeting raised an unexpected concern: Did Kissinger go with Trump's instructions?
Such speculation has been heated for many times in the circles of media and political observers. It has been reported that Trump met Kissinger 3 times after winning the election at the end of 2016, and consulted foreign policy issues.
At least in relation to Russia, Kissinger's proposal, as always, advocated the establishment of a working relationship between the United States and Russia as soon as possible.
At the end of 2016, the German picture newspaper quoted a report from a "Western European intelligence agency" that Kissinger was making plans for Trump to normalize us and Russian relations. In this plan, the United States recognizes Russia's rights to Crimea in exchange for the security of Russia in the eastern part of Ukraine, and the United States agrees to "give up" the former Soviet strength to Russia in order to reshape the two polar world.
The content of the report has never been confirmed, but speculation about Kissinger's talks between the United States and Russia has been ongoing. Especially after the Helsinki putt conference in July this year, many people came back to Kissinger's visit to Moscow more than a year ago.
A recent report on the website of the US "Beast Daily" upgraded Kissinger's talk to a "joint Russian resistance to China" strategy.
The report quoted 5 people as saying that Kissinger had made a suggestion to Trump to curb China's growing strength and impact by close relations with Russia.
The media, such as the American network magazine Slate, was surprised to say that, if it was true, it would be Kissinger's "self reversal": he pushed "coalition against the Soviet Union" in 1970s, and now he was trying to "unite Russia."
Some Chinese netizens are also laughing, saying that the "old friend of the Chinese people" has gone against the water.
It's not impossible.
Kissinger himself, the White House and the National Security Council have not yet responded to these conjectures. But some American political observers have been unable to give their analysis.
One theory is that the "insiders" quoted in the Beast Daily website are mainly from Trump's ruling team. Their goal, it is likely to give Trump's recent diplomatic action, put on a dazzling coat of "base form": Kissinger's ring, which can both magnify the "bright" of the presidential decision, and resist some criticism.
Given Kissinger's qualifications and the battles of public opinion he has experienced, he will not stand up for anything if the authorities do not comment. What's more, Trump's improvement in relations with Russia is just right now.
This explanation is very much like the domestic anti trump power. They focus on whether the Trump team is playing tricks, rather than whether Kissinger really recommends "United Russia resistance".
We have to think more about the idea of being put in.
Will Kissinger "self reverse"? An international relations scholar familiar with knife and brother has no hesitation in giving the answer: it is not impossible.
Because Kissinger is a staunch patriot of the United States, serving the interests of the United States in accordance with the principles of realism is the logic of his life.
In comparison with the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States for 40 years, the international pattern has changed greatly. If he thinks China endanger the status of the United States, it is not only his "self reversal", but also his strategic thinking.
What is Kissinger's standard of judgment? The "balance" will be broken.
He is the heir of Metternich and Bismarck's "balance of thinking". In 1954, his doctoral thesis made him famous. The title of the thesis is "the world of reconstruction - Metternich, Castel and peace", which is mainly a review of the European classical equilibrium theory.
In an article published last year in the national interests of the United States, Kissinger was open and honest. "In the multipolar order being formed, Russia should be an indispensable pole in the global balance."
Balance of power, balance of power, is the eternal key word in Kissinger's strategy dictionary.
In the book of world order published in 2015, Kissinger wrote: "the balance of power is at least two challenges: one is that a big country is strong enough to dominate, and the two is that the second class countries want to be among the strongest, leading to a series of other big powers to take a series of measures until a new one is reached. Balance or break out a comprehensive war. "
After Kissinger's conjecture of "joint resistance", many people turned it out: a powerful power to dominate, and the former second - rate countries wanted to rank among the strong. Is Kissinger referring to China?
He is an American
So far, Kissinger, 95, has arrived in Beijing more than 80 times. It is hard to break the record for a short time.
It can be seen that he is sometimes called an "old friend of the Chinese people", but diplomacy has always been a combination of fiction and reality. If Kissinger really put forward "United Russia resistance", this is even more evident.
As an American statesman, Kissinger's friendship with China over the past 40 years is still the starting point to safeguard the interests of the United States. And initially considering the resumption of Sino US relations is not his "creativity".
When he first entered the Nixon administration in 1968, he was an expert on European or Soviet issues, not much thinking about Asia.
Why do we think of "Sino Russian resistance" at least? There are at least two statements: one is Fei Zhengqing gave him some advice. They met on the train from New York to Boston and talked about restoring Sino US relations.
Another, Kissinger, in Prague, met Antonin Schneider, who had been Czechoslovakia's head of intelligence in Germany. The intelligence chief told him that the United States should reach an agreement with China against the Soviet Union.
Kissinger was surprised when he heard the proposal. But when Nixon began to think about establishing positive relations with China, Kissinger followed his boss's thinking.
Undoubtedly, Kissinger has made great contributions to breaking the deadlock in Sino-US relations, which has improved China's external environment and helped reform and opening up. After leaving office, he continued to rely on resources in the Sino US business community to guide many US companies to enter China.
But in the final analysis, the achievements made in China are a by-product of his service for the national interests of the United States: to promote the establishment of diplomatic relations between the United States and the United States, to contain the Soviet Union, to promote the investment of American companies to China, and to the need for the globalization of American manufacturing.
That's the same thing. He's an American, a determined patriot.
"Lian - Russian anti -" can't play
If Kissinger really had "United Russia resistance", could the Chinese version of the "Nixon China game" be replayed? I'm afraid I can't do it. First of all, the confrontation between the US and the Soviet Union was founded on the sharp opposition of the ideological camp.
But now China does not engage in Ideological Diplomacy. It is not easy for the United States to join in the gang. In today's extremely complex national interests, even if Kissinger hands, it is difficult to easily integrate into a "camp against China".
Moreover, Russia will not run with the United States. In the past, it has suffered too much in this regard.
In recent years, Kissinger has attended the commemorative forums of former Russian Prime Minister Primakov almost every year. Who is Primakov? He was the most prestigious prime minister in the Yeltsin era.
It was him who reversed the "one-sided" policy of Yeltsin to the West in the early period and turned to "multidimensional diplomacy", especially to promote and realize the strategic partnership of China and Russia. It was he who, in 1998, when the Russian economy was in trouble at home and abroad, changed the practice of copying the Western liberal economic model to contain the crisis in time.
Kissinger was very high on Primakov, and of course he knew the Russians had been guilty, and he knew that Russia would not trust Americans any more.
Kissinger did not want the us to fight against China and Russia, and wanted to focus on one direction. But now Washington is powerless to provide enough price for its target partners as it did in 1970s.
A scholar from the Wahl international debate club in Russia, for example, said that when the United States opened China to the United States,
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