Beijing News: Iran parade fear attack or become the turning point of the security situation


Beijing News: Iran parade fear attack or become the turning point of the security situation

Original title: Iran parade was attacked by terrorist attacks or turning point of security situation

Observer

Although the Islamic State claimed responsibility, Iran preferred to define the terrorist attack as an unconventional war between the United States and the Gulf States against Iran.

Every year on September 22, Iran holds a military parade to commemorate the Iran-Iraq War. This year, a serious terrorist attack took place at the military parade in Awaz, capital of the province of Hozistan in southern Iran, killing at least 29 people.

The Islamic state and Iran's Arab nationalist separatist group, the Arab Patriotic Democratic Movement, have declared themselves responsible for the terrorist attacks. However, Iran is not "buying it." The Iranian side believes that the behind-the-scenes instructions are directed against Iran's regional and global powers.

The Middle East is not only a source of terrorism, but also a victim of terrorism. Iran also witnessed serious terrorist incidents in June last year, with 17 deaths and 43 injuries. And the scale of the air raid is far greater than before. Choosing the parade ceremony is also a shame for Iran.

Iran does not believe that Islamic States and separatist groups will launch such terrorist attacks, of course, the two organizations declared responsible, the main motivation is to expand their international influence.

Iran believes two Gulf states have recruited terrorists, and Foreign Minister Zarif said in social media that a group of terrorists hired, tamed, armed and financed by foreign regimes attacked Awaz. Iran's Revolutionary Guard believes that terrorist groups have the support of Saudi Arabia, but also with Israel's Mossad and the United States related.

It is almost impossible to find an acceptable truth in the short term as to who is the real culprit of this terrorist attack. Iran summoned the ambassadors of Britain, the Netherlands and Denmark to Iran, believing that these countries had hosted members of the terrorist attacks against Iran.

For Iran, such a large-scale terrorist attack is rare, and at a time of dramatic change and adjustment in the Middle East order, this terrorist attack may mean a threatening change, Iran will face a more serious security situation.

From the perspective of Iran's national strategy, the regional situation has changed dramatically, and Iran has both opportunities and challenges. From Syria to Yemen, Iran's pavement is relatively large, how to carry out strategic contraction and adjustment is the main challenge. At the same time, the United States withdrew from the Iranian nuclear agreement and resumed some economic sanctions against Iran, Iran faces double pressure from the region and the world.

We can see that this terrorist attack surpasses the past, including multiple diplomatic and strategic metaphors. First, Iran has become the target of terrorist attacks, but the sources may be multifaceted, or difficult to determine; second, Iran is more inclined to define the terrorist attacks as a continuation of regional game, that is, the United States and the Gulf States launched an unconventional war against Iran; third, Iran's security situation. Even more grim, the U.S. is rebuilding its anti-Iranian camp since 1979 after withdrawing from the Iranian nuclear agreement, and Iran, in turn, has expanded its regional influence in the past year and is now at a turning point.

The terrorist attacks at Iran's military parade have triggered diplomatic and strategic disturbances, which are both signs of a drastic change in order in the Middle East and a turning point in Iran's security situation.

Sun Xingjie (International Relations scholar)

Editor in chief: Zhang Yan


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